Dawg83 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Still think Ole Miss can lose at Auburn on Saturday and be totally fine. State cannot afford a home loss to Vandy. State will likely be a comfortable favorite, Ole Miss a comfortable underdog. But who knows what will actually happen. It’s kinda playing out close to what I expected so far. Both are good teams, but not in the upper crust. Will likely hover around .500 and stay on or just above the bubble most of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 (edited) Looking at some metrics, pretty interesting that State is 33 in the NET and Ole Miss is down at 63. Best I can tell I think State is being rewarded for mostly playing road and neutral site games in nonconference, whereas Ole Miss had more home games. Also think OM is being docked for playing a lot of close games against bad teams early on. That Detroit team that OM beat by 1 still hasn’t won a game this year. Both will need to find more Q1 wins from somewhere. Edited January 19, 2024 by Dawg83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 I'm expecting the basketball egg bowl to be won by the home team in both games. the crowd will be livid at each venue and 1 guy will be out of his mind hot from 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 11 minutes ago, pancho said: I'm expecting the basketball egg bowl to be won by the home team in both games. the crowd will be livid at each venue and 1 guy will be out of his mind hot from 3 Same. A sweep by either side is fairly uncommon. Especially when both teams are at least halfway decent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 17 minutes ago, pancho said: I'm expecting the basketball egg bowl to be won by the home team in both games. the crowd will be livid at each venue and 1 guy will be out of his mind hot from 3 I agree on a split. Although, I think OM is a bad matchup for State. They have the height and length to give Smith trouble in the post. Those two 7 footers also give OM 12 fouls to use against him. In the backcourt, OM has more playmakers and shooters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 35 minutes ago, MSTSatchmo said: I agree on a split. Although, I think OM is a bad matchup for State. They have the height and length to give Smith trouble in the post. Those two 7 footers also give OM 12 fouls to use against him. In the backcourt, OM has more playmakers and shooters. Yeah State has gotta have a second guard step up other than just Hubbard. Davis and Moore have regressed this year. Taylor is literally MIA, no idea what the deal is there, but he was a 20ppg scorer at Marshall and isn’t even with the team right now. I like the flashes that Fort has shown the last two games but he needs more minutes and has gotta be more consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 3 hours ago, Dawg83 said: Yeah State has gotta have a second guard step up other than just Hubbard. Davis and Moore have regressed this year. Taylor is literally MIA, no idea what the deal is there, but he was a 20ppg scorer at Marshall and isn’t even with the team right now. I like the flashes that Fort has shown the last two games but he needs more minutes and has gotta be more consistent. What’s the deal with Taylor? I haven’t seen that he’s re-entered the portal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 2 hours ago, MSTSatchmo said: What’s the deal with Taylor? I haven’t seen that he’s re-entered the portal. “Personal issues” in the word. Not gonna lie though, he did not look impressive even when he was playing early in the year. Shot wasn’t falling and he was a liability on defense. Not nearly physical enough to defend SEC guards. State had to make a large NIL bid to sign him over several other SEC schools and it just hasn’t worked out whatsoever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 20, 2024 Share Posted January 20, 2024 Tennessee absolutely destroyed Bama. Fully believe they are the best team in the league, even after the loss to State. Vandy…. Yikes. Didn’t think State played a particularly good first half and they’re still up 15 at the break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 20, 2024 Share Posted January 20, 2024 (edited) This game has been straight out of last season for State. Playing good defense but disgusting offense. Going to win barring a late collapse but not a pleasant watch. Jans has gotta figure out what he wants to try to do with his backcourt. That group has been incredibly bad in recent games. And even when someone like Fort provides a spark, he doesn’t get that many minutes. Also, I don’t know how an SEC basketball team full of veteran players can be this bad at free throws. Edited January 20, 2024 by Dawg83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted January 20, 2024 Author Share Posted January 20, 2024 Certainly glad for the win but agree it was ugly. USM comes from 18 down to beat Troy at the end. Good win for the Eagles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted January 21, 2024 Share Posted January 21, 2024 3 hours ago, Bulldogs4 said: Certainly glad for the win but agree it was ugly. USM comes from 18 down to beat Troy at the end. Good win for the Eagles. Ugly wins beat pretty losses every day of the week and twice on Sundays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 21, 2024 Share Posted January 21, 2024 Auburn handing it to Ole Miss. As much as we’ve talked about State’s schedule, OM playing at Tennessee and Auburn in the first five games is hardly a cakewalk either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 21, 2024 Share Posted January 21, 2024 Huge Wednesday for both State and Ole Miss, now both sitting at 2-3. Arkansas comes to Oxford for a game that is probably a must win for both, while State travels to Gainesville for a Q1 opportunity, wouldn’t say it’s must win for State but it’s winnable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted January 21, 2024 Share Posted January 21, 2024 Arkansas is a mess right now. A talented mess though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 21, 2024 Share Posted January 21, 2024 (edited) Sheesh, State took a tumble in the NET even with the win. Down to 40 now. Combination of Vandy being so bad that just playing them hurts you, and also several of State’s non con opponents lost, including Southern who is starting to have the course correction I feared they would. They’re down in the 200’s now. If State goes 2-2 in the next four (@Florida, Auburn, @Ole Miss, @Bama), you take it all day long. Ole Miss fell all the way to 70 after an 0-2 week. Safe to say, gotta beat Arkansas at home, who is only ranked 118th. Edited January 21, 2024 by Dawg83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maroontide06 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 20 hours ago, Dawg83 said: Sheesh, State took a tumble in the NET even with the win. Down to 40 now. Combination of Vandy being so bad that just playing them hurts you, and also several of State’s non con opponents lost, including Southern who is starting to have the course correction I feared they would. They’re down in the 200’s now. If State goes 2-2 in the next four (@Florida, Auburn, @Ole Miss, @Bama), you take it all day long. Ole Miss fell all the way to 70 after an 0-2 week. Safe to say, gotta beat Arkansas at home, who is only ranked 118th. State really didn't catch a break from the scheduling gods LOL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 2 hours ago, maroontide06 said: State really didn't catch a break from the scheduling gods LOL! Yeah I thought State got it rough last year but their SEC schedule ended up being way tougher this year. Some of that is bad teams last year are now competitive. But whoever the heck decided that State should play Kentucky, Auburn, and Bama twice EACH is not a friend of the Dogs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted January 23, 2024 Author Share Posted January 23, 2024 That creates opportunities though and out of those six games we need to win at least two of them. Preferably three. If we are going to become a very good team we have to win some of these games. Simple as that. Wednesday @ Florida is a huge opportunity for payback from last year when they beat us in the Hump. And it is another game that we need to win if we want to make a deep run in March. We will see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 23, 2024 Share Posted January 23, 2024 If you are the bracketology type, Lunardi has State as his No. 33 overall team entering the week, so the highest ranked 9 seed. He has Ole Miss as one of the first four out. Safe to say there are huge games ahead for both. Both really need at least one win out of two games this week, and then one week from today State travels to Oxford for an obviously massive game on both sides. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unionman76 Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Kentucky loses by 17 to South Carolina even with new 7-3 guy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 SEC meat grinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Insideradvantage Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 The road in the SEC is damn near impossible. We speak from experience. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 4 hours ago, pancho said: SEC meat grinder Just not many bad teams in the league this year. Vandy, Mizzou, and maybe Arkansas are it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unionman76 Posted January 25, 2024 Share Posted January 25, 2024 Pat Adams calling another 2 1/2 hour 40 minute game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.