MSTSatchmo Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 It’s odd, when you compare State and Vandy, it’s State’s OOC that helps them out and Vandy’s conference wins. Vandy has a SEC record of 11-7 vs 8-10 for State, however State has impressive wins against Marquette and TCU. If Vandy works their way in AND State stays in, 9 bids for the SEC is impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Lunardi has State back in the play in. Anyone in front of them either has lost or is still playing, so they wouldn’t move back with a loss at this point, I’d think. I wonder if State’s poor performance yesterday had anything to do with it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Looking over the "last 4 in" and "first 4 out", Vandy is the only one still playing. Vandy is getting beat down at halftime, looks like they'll be NIT bound. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Vandy lost, so they're doubtful to take a bid. Ohio State lost also, they were another potential bid taker had they won the Big 10 conference. So far, so good for MSU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Only potential bid stealers on the board still are in C-USA (if UAB beats FSU tonight) and the American (if Houston or Memphis doesn’t win tomorrow, Houston already won today). It’s shaping up to be one of the least chaotic conference tournament weeks I can remember, which is very good for State. Feel even better about State being in tomorrow after the Vandy and Ohio State losses, and won’t be shocked at all if they are above the Dayton line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 hours ago, MSTSatchmo said: Lunardi has State back in the play in. Anyone in front of them either has lost or is still playing, so they wouldn’t move back with a loss at this point, I’d think. I wonder if State’s poor performance yesterday had anything to do with it? I think so, he flip flopped State and Rutgers after both lost yesterday, I’m assuming because Rutgers was competitive with Purdue whereas State got drilled by Bama. We’ll know this time tomorrow if it ended up mattering at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, Dawg83 said: Only potential bid stealers on the board still are in C-USA (if UAB beats FSU tonight) and the American (if Houston or Memphis doesn’t win tomorrow, Houston already won today). It’s shaping up to be one of the least chaotic conference tournament weeks I can remember, which is very good for State. Feel even better about State being in tomorrow after the Vandy and Ohio State losses, and won’t be shocked at all if they are above the Dayton line. Yep, I've been following the Memphis/Tulane score... it's 42-17 Memphis at the half. I think that potential stolen bid can be crossed off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Tulane lost and UAB is down 48-27 early in the second half. MSU looks pretty safe to get a bid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 And with that FAU win, there were exactly zero stolen bids this year. Pretty shocking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Dawg83 said: And with that FAU win, there were exactly zero stolen bids this year. Pretty shocking. I can’t remember seeing that before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 23 minutes ago, MSTSatchmo said: I can’t remember seeing that before. Same. It has definitely kept some deserving teams out of the tournament in the past. Won’t be the case this year. Not a great bubble to begin with and it didn’t even shrink after all these tournaments. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 (edited) Bama is a very good team. Good shooters, lots on length, and athletic. They’re a bunch of cocky b@tches though, considering how close they were to not having their best player for the rest of the season. Plus Nate Oats has surpassed Calipari in being whiny as hell (Musselman is right there with them) I don’t care who wins the NC as long as it’s not them. Edited March 12, 2023 by MSTSatchmo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 (edited) I can agree with that. I think they crash and burn. Maybe even in the first weekend. They are very good but very beatable and in the tournament as we all know, anything can happen. Oates is definitely brash and arrogant but that kind of attitude can come back and bite you. I won’t be surprised if that happens to them in the NCAAT. Edited March 12, 2023 by Bulldogs4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 With the right matchup I think Bama could be out by the Second Round or Sweet 16. I was ready to pick UCLA to win it all in my yearly bracket but they’ve had some key injuries lately. Now…. No idea. Texas would be a really fascinating story after firing their coach in January. I think UConn has a lot of potential for a deep run. Can’t rule out teams like Kansas or Purdue. Think it will be a really interesting tournament, and the lack of stolen bids could result in this being a deeper field than most years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 With State, I can be equally convinced that they make the Sweet 16 or lose their opening game by 20. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 Agree on State. Lately our shooting has been atrocious. But if we shoot the ball halfway decent we can beat anybody. But if we shoot like we did against Bama we are one and done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Lunardi has moved State back out the play in games. We will know in a few hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 State is playing Pitt in a play-in game. Thought they might dodge that but at least you’re in. If they can find a way to beat Pitt, the draw is not a terrible one with Iowa State and potentially Xavier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Dawg83 said: State is playing Pitt in a play-in game. Thought they might dodge that but at least you’re in. If they can find a way to beat Pitt, the draw is not a terrible one with Iowa State and potentially Xavier. As I said all year, an NIT bid would be a success for Jans with it being his first year. NCAAT as a play in game is gravy on the success biscuit of a year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 (edited) Auburn getting to play in Birmingham as a 9 seed is kind of a crock. Would not be happy if I was Iowa or Houston. State got a fair draw in terms of geography, if they can beat Pitt. Greensboro isn’t a bad spot, especially when you don’t have to play one of the Carolina schools. Having said that, Dayton is a lot closer to Pittsburgh than Starkville, so it may be a pro-Pitt crowd for that game. Edited March 12, 2023 by Dawg83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Pitt finished 5th in a down ACC. They have 4 players averaging double figures, and they have been in some high scoring games lately. Maybe they haven’t seen a defense like State’s yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 Happy for our guys especially Tolu. Hopefully we can play relaxed with no pressure on us a get a win in Dayton. I think we were pressing against Vandy and Florida and maybe now we can just play ball and see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sportsmaniac10 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Interestingly enough, one of Pitt’s starters (and leading scorer I think) is very familiar with State. Blake Hinson was a former starter for Ole Miss under KD. Will be an interesting match up. Glad to see at least one Mississippi team get in on the men’s side. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 (edited) 50 minutes ago, MSTSatchmo said: Pitt finished 5th in a down ACC. They have 4 players averaging double figures, and they have been in some high scoring games lately. Maybe they haven’t seen a defense like State’s yet. The early betting lines I’ve seen have State as a slight favorite. Did not realize this is Pitt’s first NCAAT appearance since 2016. They really declined once Jamie Dixon left, and of course Howland prior to that. But Jeff Capel has done a nice rebuilding job. Edited March 12, 2023 by Dawg83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Three of those double digit scorers are guards. Hopefully for State, they aren’t a three point heavy team. If State does manage to move on to the weekend, I saw Iowa State allows just 20 PPG in the paint. That’s not a good matchup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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