CFB Week 11 Thread

[Wcchaingang]

18 minutes ago, Bulldogs4 said:

Teams/players are going to make mistakes/commit penalties but Ole Miss did a good job of not letting them affect the next play or series last night. That is a big key to play winning football. 

Austin Simmons deserves a ton of credit for stepping in on that drive and marching down the field for a score. Dart showed a lot of toughness sticking it out the rest of the game and made some big plays late with his legs.

[rebmus]

Simmons has looked pretty good in limited action before yesterday, although it's been during garbage time.

Simmons absolutely showed a TON of promise yesterday with that drive against Georgia leading Ole Miss to a go ahead TD. 

 

This Ole Miss Defense is what we expected in the offseason, actually better than expected. ROI is doing well on that side of the ball. 

 

It's a good time for a bye week... hopefully Dart, Pegues, Harris, etc. are close to 100% for the last 2 games. 

 

 

[Wcchaingang]

17 minutes ago, rebmus said:

Simmons has looked pretty good in limited action before yesterday, although it's been during garbage time.

Simmons absolutely showed a TON of promise yesterday with that drive against Georgia leading Ole Miss to a go ahead TD. 

 

This Ole Miss Defense is what we expected in the offseason, actually better than expected. ROI is doing well on that side of the ball. 

 

It's a good time for a bye week... hopefully Dart, Pegues, Harris, etc. are close to 100% for the last 2 games. 

 

 

The bye week is at the perfect time. It it would be a prime let down week.

[NoWammies]

Rumor has it Logan Diggs should be ready to go after the bye week. 

[Insideradvantage]

I guess Diggs playing could be a good thing, but you almost wonder why even do it at this point. If he doesn’t play more than four games he doesn’t burn a year but if we get into the playoffs and run the table he’d play more than that and burn it. 

[NoWammies]

If we were healthy I’d say keep him out and redshirt him but with how banged up we are at the position we’re a UBIV injury away from being in real trouble at the position. As for next year I think Mills-Knight is going to step in and start right away as a freshman. I’m sure Kiffin will grab a couple in the portal as well. 

[Tartar12]

I think they don’t count playoff games as part of the 4 for redshirting 

[Insideradvantage]

^^* Really? Well that’s certainly a game changer then. No reason for Diggs not to play if he is ready. 

[NoWammies]

He’s correct. Conference championship games don’t count either. 

[NoWammies]

Wonder if Jake Pope is on the team today.

https://x.com/sadolemisssimp/status/1855984077842633107?s=46&t=AP0_RymTp1SB6dY_84dfNA

[NoWammies]

Just a random thought. I’m not a Nostradamus or anything but got to thinking that a Pegues Tebow like jump pass or something like it is eventually going to happen in a big moment this season. We’ve yet to see him pass yet but anybody who watched him at Oxford knows he can. 

[Dawg83]

I think the Playoff ends up being 4 SEC, 4 Big 10, 4 other. And by far the most complicated of that to sort out is the SEC.

 

Also need to watch out for a Big 12 stolen bid. If you are a Playoff bubble team like Ole Miss or whoever, the last thing you want is BYU going 12-0 and then losing in the league title game. You either want BYU to lose in the regular season or win out completely.

[maroontide06]

5 minutes ago, Dawg83 said:

I think the Playoff ends up being 4 SEC, 4 Big 10, 4 other. And by far the most complicated of that to sort out is the SEC.

 

Also need to watch out for a Big 12 stolen bid. If you are a Playoff bubble team like Ole Miss or whoever, the last thing you want is BYU going 12-0 and then losing in the league title game. You either want BYU to lose in the regular season or win out completely.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but did State cover the spread against Tennessee?  If so, what is State's W-L record in the Vegas books?

[NoWammies]

I think the Big 12 only gets one team in and it’s their champion. If BYU loses the title game they’ll be left out for the 4th SEC team. At this point with the way the rest of the schedule looks the Big 10 is getting 4. I also think BYU will lose at Arizona St and it not matter.  This still all depends on how the SEC finished out cuz still have a chance for a crazy ending. If Tennessee loses to Georgia and Ole Miss wins out they’re in comfortably. 

 

I think it’ll be 

4 SEC (Texas, Bama, Tennessee, Ole Miss)

4 Big Ten (Oregon, Ohio St, Penn St, Indiana)

Notre Dame 

Miami

Colorado 

Boise St 

 

[NoWammies]

9 minutes ago, maroontide06 said:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but did State cover the spread against Tennessee?  If so, what is State's W-L record in the Vegas books?

My bank account this morning said they covered the spread against Tennessee. My bank account at the end of the year for them to go O4.5 wins won’t look the same. 

[NoWammies]

The most Ole Miss thing that’ll happen is if during all this craziness they somehow make the SECCG, lose and get left out. The team that showed up Saturday though plus some healthy additions could win it and get the automatic bid. 

[maroontide06]

25 minutes ago, NoWammies said:

My bank account this morning said they covered the spread against Tennessee. My bank account at the end of the year for them to go O4.5 wins won’t look the same. 

I looked it up on Vegas Insider, but State is 6-4 so far this year in the Vegas books.  Maybe you can use that metric for something, but what would you use it for?

[NoWammies]

20 minutes ago, maroontide06 said:

I looked it up on Vegas Insider, but State is 6-4 so far this year in the Vegas books.  Maybe you can use that metric for something, but what would you use it for?

With State? Take the other team ML on a parlay. Kidding cuz it won’t boost the juice that much unless you took ASU and Toledo. I went with State +24 this past week cuz Tennessee’s offense had looked like garbage and was only averaging around 20p/g. I thought State’s offense could at least keep it within that despite their defense which they did thankfully. 

[pancho]

5 hours ago, Dawg83 said:

I think the Playoff ends up being 4 SEC, 4 Big 10, 4 other. And by far the most complicated of that to sort out is the SEC.

 

Also need to watch out for a Big 12 stolen bid. If you are a Playoff bubble team like Ole Miss or whoever, the last thing you want is BYU going 12-0 and then losing in the league title game. You either want BYU to lose in the regular season or win out completely.

AZ State will give BYU an L on Nov 23

[Dawg83]

19 hours ago, maroontide06 said:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but did State cover the spread against Tennessee?  If so, what is State's W-L record in the Vegas books?

I could be wrong on this but if I’m not mistaken I think they are 5-1 against the spread since MVB took over as starting QB.

[Dawg83]

14 hours ago, pancho said:

AZ State will give BYU an L on Nov 23

There is definitely some smoke and mirrors type stuff with BYU. That’s definitely a tough game for them. We State fans still cringe at the mention of the name Skattebo. lol.

[Former Coach]

I think OM should be there, but the Kentucky loss and overall strength of schedule could hamper them. If Tennessee beats UGA they are a lock barring a major upset their last 2 games. A UGA win and they will need help.

[NoWammies]

Instead of the Big 12 stealing a bid, I’m more worried that Army beats Notre Dame and somehow Army, Notre Dame and Boise St get at larges. If Army does win I think both them and Boise St get in. No way they leave Boise St out with how they’ve talked up Jeanty as Heisman all year. Justifiably so though because he’s put up great numbers. Plus their only loss is a close road loss to Oregon. All that and I’m still going to say I doubt Army beats Notre Dame, but it’s been a crazy season. 

[Bulldogs4]

3 hours ago, Dawg83 said:

There is definitely some smoke and mirrors type stuff with BYU. That’s definitely a tough game for them. We State fans still cringe at the mention of the name Skattebo. lol.

ASU-BYU depends on the officiating. If they allow the BYU OL to bear hug the defense the whole game (like they did at State when BYU was undefeated in 2001, and they gifted them the win 41-38), then BYU wins. If not, then the Sun Devils will notch a win. 
Simple as that. 
 

[Dawg83]

54 minutes ago, NoWammies said:

Instead of the Big 12 stealing a bid, I’m more worried that Army beats Notre Dame and somehow Army, Notre Dame and Boise St get at larges. If Army does win I think both them and Boise St get in. No way they leave Boise St out with how they’ve talked up Jeanty as Heisman all year. Justifiably so though because he’s put up great numbers. Plus their only loss is a close road loss to Oregon. All that and I’m still going to say I doubt Army beats Notre Dame, but it’s been a crazy season. 

I don’t see all three of those teams getting in. Would be a big surprise.

 

Better question for now is how would everyone rank the SEC resumes? I would go:

 

1. Tennessee - one loss, and a win vs Bama

2. Texas - one loss, no signature win

3. Bama - two losses, wins vs Georgia and LSU

 

I feel pretty confident about those three right now, after that it gets iffy: With OM vs Georgia, do you value OM’s head to head win more or Georgia’s overall resume more? I think I lean OM for now, but if Georgia beats Tennessee, that’s a playoff team, it just is. They’d have wins against Texas, Tennessee, and Clemson, and only losses are on the road versus Top 10 teams.

 

You also can’t ignore A&M, who has a huge opportunity game vs Texas to end the year.

 

If you’re OM, I think you want the 10-2 waters around you to clear up. Root for Georgia to lose to Tennessee, A&M to lose to Texas, things like that. It would cost you a spot in Atlanta but would likely solidify your playoff inclusion. The worst case scenario for OM other than an upset loss is A BUNCH of teams all tied at 10-2. If we are comparing a bunch of teams with the same record, you don’t want to be the one with the worst loss (which OM is). And the Georgia win, while great, isn’t particularly unique either as most of these teams would have a signature win or two.

Edited November 12, 2024 by Dawg83