Dawg83 Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 Last week of October games, football season always seems to go by too fast. State at Auburn - If you have a sensitive stomach, this game may not be for you. It’s been 15 years since 3-2, this has a chance to be an excellent homage to that game. Indications are it’s still going to be the Mike Wright show this week, so I honestly expect a similar plan to what you saw in Fayetteville. Auburn and Arkansas seem to be pretty similar teams, with the exception of I think Freeze is a better coach than Pittman. I have low expectations for this one but I’m actually going to predict a State win. I think finally getting an SEC win is a confidence boost and they’re able to keep it going for another week or two. I expect a close, low-scoring affair no matter who wins. I’m taking State 16-14. Vandy at Ole Miss - there was a time when Vandy gave OM fits, and even a stretch of time when they were fairly dominant in the series. Hasn’t been the case recently, though. Ole Miss is nearly a four touchdown favorite and that sounds about right to me. OM wins 48-21. Georgia vs Florida - I am not sure there is a team in the SEC more difficult to get a read on than UF. Georgia has also been kind of weird this year. I’ll go with UGA but something tells me this is an oddly close game. South Carolina at Texas A&M - I don’t think A&M is that bad, SC might be. Aggies win by double digits at home. Tennessee at Kentucky - I am going Kentucky upset here. That stadium can be tough to play in at night and UT is in the classic post-Bama letdown spot. Maybe my perception is warped by watching State struggle in Lexington the last several years. But I do think UK has a real chance here. Nationally, a little bit of a meh week but there are some interesting games. Oregon at Utah is probably the biggest game, I think I like Oregon there. Keep an eye on Ohio State at Wisconsin for a potential upset spot, especially in a night game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 I’ll take Auburn at home. State will need another unexpected good defensive performance this week. Auburn 24 State 14 OM big. They’ve been in some close ones recently, but I think they cruise this week. OM 45 Vandy 14 Georgia over UF. I also think it will be close. A&M over SC. Two teams that have underachieved this year. Tennessee over Kentucky. Probably a good game in Lexington. Ohio State over Wisconsin. I agree this could be an upset. Oregon over Utah. Bad deal that Rising was never ready to play this season. Im sure ESPN will be hyping up Colorado and UCLA soon. Duke/Louisville and BYU/Texas and Oklahoma/Kansas are a couple others with the potential to be good games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Hard to get a read on State @ Auburn. Auburn played an emotional game against Ole Miss (really played over their heads). It is sometimes hard to duplicate that effort two weeks in a row. Unless the Apocalypse happens between now and Saturday, this will be a low scoring game. It was a big win for State Saturday and I think the burden of winning is off the shoulders of the players and maybe the team will play better. It could go either way but I think State pulls it out 17-10. Ole Miss wins over Vandy but not in a complete blow out. Ole Miss seems to prefer close games so I will go with a 28-17 win but they will never be in danger of losing this game. Georgia is due for a loss and Florida is going to provide it this week unless the SEC officials skew the game to make sure Jawja doesn’t lose. That has happened often before and will surely happen again. Florida wins 28-19 and in this case they will have enough of a lead that prevents the officials from determining the outcome of the game. A&M over SCAR Tennessee over UK even though they may have a let down. UK seems to have fallen off a cliff here lately. Ohio State big over Whiskey. Oregon wins over Utah in possibly the best game of the weekend. I am pulling for Bo Nix. Just glad to see him at a place where he is flourishing. Colorado’s star has fallen faster than the stock market in 1929. Don’t think ESPN’s promo’s are going to help here. UCLA 58, CO 30. And ratings for CO are likely to plummet as well. Duke over Louie-ville BYU over TX Kansas upsets OK. And finally USM at App State. On paper this looks to be a blow out for App State but I think USM breaks the streak with an upset. App State is struggling and with this being Homecoming for them I think they are going to overlook the Eagles and sleepwalk to a loss. USM 30 App State 29 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 I don't bet on sports, it's just too unpredictable. I'm very tempted to bet the under on MSU/Auburn... the line is 43.5. This is a tossup game IMO, I wouldn't bet on the winner either way. I just don't see these two teams scoring 44 combined. Now that I've said it, the teams will combine for 100 points or something crazy. Everyone outside of Nashville should pick Ole Miss over Vandy. If history repeats itself, Ole Miss wins while losing a key player to injury... or just loses. I still think Georgia loses a regular season game... Florida wouldn't surprise me but I don't think so. I think it will be one of the next three after this weekend. @ UT is the safest guess. A&M should beat the Cocks long and hard. (Sorry boss) UT/Kentucky is likely the best SEC game of the weekend. I wish this wasn't at the same time as the Ole Miss game, I'll definitely have it on TV2 to semi-watch. I'll pick UT to win. I've picked USM twice this season in an upset and got burned. I'm rooting for USM but picking App State. I'm good with being burned on this pick. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted October 25, 2023 Author Share Posted October 25, 2023 The only thing that gives me pause on the under for State/Auburn is just how bad State’s defense was the first six weeks. Was Arkansas a fluke or a sign that they’ve figured a bunch out? At the same time, this is not exactly a good Auburn offense. But it wasn’t last year either and they scored over 30 on a better State defense than this one. The last two State/Auburn games have been really bizarre. You had State overcoming the 28-3 deficit to win two years ago, and last year you had Auburn storming back from down 24-3 and 4 lead changes in the fourth quarter and OT before State finally won. Who the heck knows what you’ll get this year. State-Auburn has started to turn into a little bit of what Ole Miss-Arkansas usually is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 And I will not be the least bit surprised if Auburn wins this game. It is going to most likely be an ugly low scoring game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Former Coach Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 If Will is not able to play State will be lucky to score14. While Wright is dynamic with his legs, his inability to throw the ball down the field really hampers the offense. Auburn will definitely crowd the LOS to stop the run. Will can't run but his ability to get the ball down the field from the pocket opens up the offense, if State can protect, which has also been an issue. Even if Will can play they still need to have 10-15 plays for Wright. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted October 26, 2023 Author Share Posted October 26, 2023 3 hours ago, Former Coach said: If Will is not able to play State will be lucky to score14. While Wright is dynamic with his legs, his inability to throw the ball down the field really hampers the offense. Auburn will definitely crowd the LOS to stop the run. Will can't run but his ability to get the ball down the field from the pocket opens up the offense, if State can protect, which has also been an issue. Even if Will can play they still need to have 10-15 plays for Wright. Not expecting to see Rogers. When the injury first happened I was told he’d be back “sometime in November”. I think both defenses will sell out to stop the run. Actually like the matchup for State’s defense, but Auburn is probably thinking the same thing for their defense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Field position and turnovers will key. Coming off a 7-3 game, this one could be just as ugly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 5 hours ago, MSTSatchmo said: Field position and turnovers will key. Coming off a 7-3 game, this one could be just as ugly. The 3-2 Auburn "win" over MSU will never be forgotten. I don't think this game can possibly be uglier than that one. Karma owes MSU an ugly win this Saturday I suppose. Maybe MSU could get pick more than one safety while Auburn picks up just one? A 4-2 revenge win for MSU? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted October 27, 2023 Author Share Posted October 27, 2023 16 hours ago, rebmus said: The 3-2 Auburn "win" over MSU will never be forgotten. I don't think this game can possibly be uglier than that one. Karma owes MSU an ugly win this Saturday I suppose. Maybe MSU could get pick more than one safety while Auburn picks up just one? A 4-2 revenge win for MSU? And now one of the head coaches responsible for 3-2 is a United States senator. LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 The other is retired and living in Mobile. The fact that they are both connected to Alabama should give State the edge..,correct? This might be like Black Jack. First one to twenty-one or closest to twenty-one without going over wins!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasbeen67 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 (edited) Bounds went on a rant after MSU loss to South Carolina about you couldn't expect to win with all that had gone on. My thought, and more so now, if you can't expect to beat them, who can you expect to beat. From what I've seen of their OL and what other teams have done, hard to think you shouldn't have been able to get pressure on QB. Maybe that Arkansas performance was a turning point. Edited October 28, 2023 by hasbeen67 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted October 28, 2023 Author Share Posted October 28, 2023 Rogers and Marks both out today for State. This one is going to be painful to watch. And State still might win. LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldogs4 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 As you have mentioned, we have a decent group of RB’s and Wright is capable. We will miss both of those guys but I think we are still capable of winning the game. I hope we see our guys flying around and having fun today. Play hard and loose and see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 South Carolina drops to 2-6 on the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawg83 Posted October 28, 2023 Author Share Posted October 28, 2023 The old State defense is back. Auburn has scored EASILY on its first two drives. Like I feared, the defensive performance in Fayetteville appears to have been fluky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 On 10/24/2023 at 9:37 PM, rebmus said: I don't bet on sports, it's just too unpredictable. I'm very tempted to bet the under on MSU/Auburn... the line is 43.5. This is a tossup game IMO, I wouldn't bet on the winner either way. I just don't see these two teams scoring 44 combined. Now that I've said it, the teams will combine for 100 points or something crazy. 14-3 Auburn and the first quarter isn't over. Another example of why I do NOT bet on sports. The under SEEMED like a really good bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 State is making Payton Thorne look like Peyton Manning. Conclusion - Arkansas is horrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maroontide06 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 State’s back to crappy, slow defense again this week (maybe it never left). It’s gonna be a long day unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maroontide06 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 You can’t win a football game when your offense and defense are nowhere to be found. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 the entire staff should simply quit due to incompetence. that first half was terrible and auburn should be ahead 48-3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSTSatchmo Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 State looks totally unprepared. Defensively, with the exception of one or two players, they look like they don’t care. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 29 minutes ago, maroontide06 said: You can’t win a football game when your offense and defense are nowhere to be found. Get a young Devin Hester/Deion Sanders returning all those kicks, it may be close? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Chokelahoma gonna chokelahoma... loses to Kansas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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