College Football Playoffs

[NoWammies]

Figured I’d make one since the next two weeks will be crazy. Moving my Bama question here.

 

Question I have that could cause chaos is what do they do with Bama if they make it to the SECCG and win it? Do you give a 2 loss team a bye over teams that’ll have one loss? Do they jump the Ohio State/Indiana loser pushing one of them out of the bye? So much could change if they were to make it to the SECCG and win it. 

[NoWammies]

Games that could change a lot:

 

This Week
Missouri @ Oklahoma

USC @ Oregon 

 

Next Week

Ole Miss @ Mississippi State

Georgia vs Georgia Tech(Neutral Site)

Texas A&M @ Texas

Miami @ Pittsburgh 

Ohio State @ Michigan 

LSU @ Oklahoma 

Vanderbilt @ Tennessee(Vandy still outside shot)

Alabama @ Auburn(Auburn can play spoiler)

 

 

[pancho]

Oklahoma wins

USC wins

State beats ole miss

tech beats UGA

Texas beats A&M

Miami beats Pitt

Ohio State rolls

Oklahoma beats LSU

Vandy beats the orange

Bama wins the Iron bowl

 

What a mess

[Dawg83]

I’ll pose a different Bama question for you…. Are they out if they lose in the SECCG?

 

The margins are tight enough where if certain results happen behind them I think it’s possible. I mean they’re currently the last team in, basically.

[pancho]

mass hysteria would commence if that happened

[NoWammies]

I think Auburn and the SECCG are do or die games for them. Beating Auburn won’t move them up any so they’ll still be sitting at the 10 spot for the SECCG unless someone ahead of them loses. They will need Vandy to lose to Tennessee and they def need USC to lose to Oregon because if USC was to win that game there will be lots of uncertainties of who goes where in the rankings. Does an Oregon loss to USC put them out? I think it should because their best win would be a late FG against Iowa. 

[DrownInEtown]

I think a win vs Auburn clinches a spot for them. There’s no way to overlook their resume for 3 losses.

[Dawg83]

19 minutes ago, DrownInEtown said:

I think a win vs Auburn clinches a spot for them. There’s no way to overlook their resume for 3 losses.

I really think it depends on the traffic around them. They’d really need chalk to hold in other leagues.

 

For the record I think Bama should be ahead of Notre Dame right now and ND arguably shouldn’t even be in. ND is really good but BYU and Miami have better wins than anything ND has (who literally has a loss to Miami).

[Dawg83]

3 hours ago, NoWammies said:

I think Auburn and the SECCG are do or die games for them. Beating Auburn won’t move them up any so they’ll still be sitting at the 10 spot for the SECCG unless someone ahead of them loses. They will need Vandy to lose to Tennessee and they def need USC to lose to Oregon because if USC was to win that game there will be lots of uncertainties of who goes where in the rankings. Does an Oregon loss to USC put them out? I think it should because their best win would be a late FG against Iowa. 

I think Oregon is out and USC is in if USC wins in Autzen on Saturday.

[Dawg83]

I am not sure where final seeding is going to shake out but whoever draws Notre Dame in the first round I feel sorry for. They lost two games to Miami and A&M early and people kinda wrote them off but they are really impressive.

[pancho]

They better be because their schedule is weak.

[Bulldogs4]

On paper ND’s schedule was not bad.

@Arkansas, SC, NC State, Boise would normally be solid opponents. None of those teams have been good this year.

Navy has a decent team but they were overmatched. Pitt on the road was a good win. 
Stanford used to be a quality team but they have fallen off badly recently. 
You can only play the schedule in front of you.

They lost two close games at the beginning of the year and have won every game since.

 

So yes, they will be a problem for whoever gets them in the playoff. 

[Dawg83]

Say what you want about the G5 and ACC bid, those teams probably will be one and done….. but the current Top 10 feels a lot stronger than last year’s playoff field and that should lead to some really compelling games, barring some late upsets.

[Dawg83]

Interesting that Oregon leapfrogged Oregon at 6 tonight. Not sure I agree with it, but certainly would make things hairy for OM if they somehow lost the Egg Bowl.

 

Would still play at home as the 7 or 8 seeds but the first round opponents are likely to be much easier for the 5 and 6, so that’s who everyone will be wanting.

[Bulldogs4]

Navy beat Memphis tonight. Could they sneak in the playoff? Does playing Army December 13th affect their chance? Since that is so late? They would be 10-2 with a win. 

[s1nglewing]

17 minutes ago, Bulldogs4 said:

Navy beat Memphis tonight. Could they sneak in the playoff? Does playing Army December 13th affect their chance? Since that is so late? They would be 10-2 with a win. 

I think the CFP will be determined before Army/Navy

[Bulldogs4]

6 hours ago, s1nglewing said:

I think the CFP will be determined before Army/Navy

Actually, theoretically it is possible but realistically doubtful. One other thing I did not realize is that Army & Navy are now both members of the AAC. Obviously not this year but if they were to finish 1-2 in the conference, they could play for the conference championship and then play each other again the following week for their regular season game. That rivalry game is an out of conference game so it has no impact on the AAC season. 

[Dawg83]

Curious to see how far A&M falls after their loss. Probably dropped them from a first round bye to hosting as a 5 to 8 seed, though not sure exactly where. Their resume outside of the Notre Dame win (great win, BTW) is pretty blah. They got a really favorable draw with their SEC schedule.

 

I would presume, for now, if chalk holds tomorrow, Georgia slides up to 3 and Texas Tech moves into a bye position at 4?

[rebmus]

18 hours ago, Dawg83 said:

Curious to see how far A&M falls after their loss. Probably dropped them from a first round bye to hosting as a 5 to 8 seed, though not sure exactly where. Their resume outside of the Notre Dame win (great win, BTW) is pretty blah. They got a really favorable draw with their SEC schedule.

 

I would presume, for now, if chalk holds tomorrow, Georgia slides up to 3 and Texas Tech moves into a bye position at 4?

Top 4 is pretty predictable IMO

1. Ohio State

2. Indiana

3. Georgia

4. Texas Tech

5. Oregon (assuming they hold on to beat Washington?) 

6. Ole Miss

7. Texas A&M

 

A&M wouldn't surprise me at 5, 6, or 7... don't see it being below 7. Oregon stays ahead of Ole Miss if they win. 

 

 

[NoWammies]

So if Duke wins the ACCCG next week against Virginia, the ACC champion might get left out and Miami get in as an at large bid? Craziness 

[rebmus]

3 minutes ago, NoWammies said:

So if Duke wins the ACCCG next week against Virginia, the ACC champion might get left out and Miami get in as an at large bid? Craziness 

Take the top 12 and have a playoff, zero auto bids. 

 

[NoWammies]

6 minutes ago, rebmus said:

Take the top 12 and have a playoff, zero auto bids. 

 

I agree but give it time and it’s going to be 16, then 20 something then 32. Especially after Texas gets left out this year and we never hear the end of it. 

[rebmus]

1 minute ago, NoWammies said:

I agree but give it time and it’s going to be 16, then 20 something then 32. Especially after Texas gets left out this year and we never hear the end of it. 

True... but that's a different discussion. 

Take the top X teams with ZERO auto bids and I'm in... I think 12 is enough (I actually think 8 is fine) but I'm OK with 16. 16 is definitely enough. 

 

 

[NoWammies]

Part of me says 16 is perfect based off this year but how often does this year happen? There could be seasons where 4 loss teams are in the playoffs if it’s 16. 12 is a nice number but there will always be 3 or 4 teams that say they belong over others. 

[Dawg83]

I stand by an earlier point I made, the 11 and 12 spots will basically be just for show but 1 through 10 is absolutely loaded this year. Could be an incredible playoff.