CFB Week 3 Thread

[Bulldogs4]

As we have seen early in the year , there are very few guarantees with college football games. 

Still a lot of football to be played. Ole Miss has looked good so far. State is not as good as everyone thought before last night but I believe we are much better than the team that finished last nights game. 

 

[rebmus]

1 hour ago, Bulldogs4 said:

As we have seen early in the year , there are very few guarantees with college football games. 

Still a lot of football to be played. Ole Miss has looked good so far. State is not as good as everyone thought before last night but I believe we are much better than the team that finished last nights game. 

 

Pretty much, yep. 

I still am not sold State isn't as good as everyone thought or maybe LSU isn't as bad as everyone thought. 

This could be a very wild wild west this season. 

Bama is obviously the favorite to win the SECW, but they sure look more beatable that MOST years in the past decade. 

Who's the second favorite to win the SECW right now? 

A&M who lost to Appy State? 

Arkansas who needed a come from behind win to beat Missouri State?

Ole Miss who has whipped 3 bad teams playing good defense, good running, but questionable passing game? 

LSU's only loss is vs FSU who is undefeated. 

Auburn didn't look good at all vs Penn State, but zero SEC losses so far so we'll see. 

MSU has one loss to LSU, again... maybe LSU will prove to be the second best SECW team and MSU finishes third? 

 

It's way too early to guess how the season pans out. 

 

 

[Dawg83]

I would love to know how Ole Miss is a guaranteed loss for State when we still have no idea how good OM is. I mean congrats on the 3-0 start but dear gosh you better have been 3-0 against those three teams.

 

If the game was played this week then I think OM would be favored. But auto loss for State? Heck no.

 

The Mike Leach experience is a roller coaster, but he typically has a pretty high floor as a coach. I just don’t see the 4-8 or 5-7 predictions being the case at all barring some significant injuries. I think this is still a 6 to 8 win State team that will be in almost every game. It’s anyone’s guess where the wins and losses come though.

Edited September 19, 2022 by Dawg83

[MSTSatchmo]

I said to get to 6, they’d need at least one upset.   I think State will be favored against Auburn at home. 
State will more than likely be the underdog against A&M, Arkansas, OM, and Kentucky.  They can win some of those (like A&M last year), but it would be an upset.   

[Dawg83]

3 hours ago, MSTSatchmo said:

State will more than likely be the underdog against A&M, Arkansas, OM, and Kentucky.  They can win some of those (like A&M last year), but it would be an upset.   

From a Vegas standpoint they might be a betting underdog but for all intents and purposes all of those games are toss-ups.

 

I mean it technically was an “upset” that LSU beat State, but does anyone really view LSU beating State in Baton Rouge as an upset? No. Even though State was favored, that game was a toss up.

[Dawg83]

Also I would guess the State vs. A&M and Arkansas betting lines are pretty close to pick ems anyway when the lines come out. Those teams have all shown noticeable flaws through three games and I don’t see any of the three as clearly better than the others yet.

 

I do agree that State will probably be an underdog in Lexington and Oxford though, at least at this point. But those are still extremely winnable games.

[Insideradvantage]

Ole Miss-Kentucky with the 11 am kick. Geez. 

[pancho]

must be some games to attract more viewers later that day?

[Dawg83]

6 hours ago, Insideradvantage said:

Ole Miss-Kentucky with the 11 am kick. Geez. 

I am pretty sure TV views that time slot more favorably than fans who want to attend the game in person. Reminds me of State-A&M in 2014, similar deal with both teams being in the Top 15, and they slapped that one at 11 am too. I think ESPN really likes having a big game to roll into right after College Gameday.

 

My understanding of the pecking order for most weeks is CBS gets the first pick, then ESPN prime time, then ESPN 11 am, then anything on the SEC Network. So based on this it sounds like this was the TV pecking order:

 

1. Bama-Arkansas

2. LSU-Auburn

3. Ole Miss-Kentucky

4. Georgia-Mizzou

5. A&M-State

 

I do understand the frustrations about having one of your biggest home games at time slot that isn’t very fan friendly. Feels like you see this with State or OM at least once a year.

 

 

[rebmus]

31 minutes ago, Dawg83 said:

I am pretty sure TV views that time slot more favorably than fans who want to attend the game in person. Reminds me of State-A&M in 2014, similar deal with both teams being in the Top 15, and they slapped that one at 11 am too. I think ESPN really likes having a big game to roll into right after College Gameday.

 

My understanding of the pecking order for most weeks is CBS gets the first pick, then ESPN prime time, then ESPN 11 am, then anything on the SEC Network. So based on this it sounds like this was the TV pecking order:

 

1. Bama-Arkansas

2. LSU-Auburn

3. Ole Miss-Kentucky

4. Georgia-Mizzou

5. A&M-State

 

I do understand the frustrations about having one of your biggest home games at time slot that isn’t very fan friendly. Feels like you see this with State or OM at least once a year.

 

 

Yep. Too many view the 11am slot like the old JP games with the 3 Daves which took the leftover game.

ESPN has made a push to put a "big" game at 11am following Gameday. No idea if it's true, but I'm told the 11am ESPN game outnumbers viewership vs the 6pm ESPN game at times. The primetime ESPN is a better slot still, but the gap isn't as large as it once was. 

 

Bama-Arkansas is the obvious top pick for CBS- should be a top 10 matchup unless we see an upset this weekend. 

 

 

[Dawg83]

Not gonna lie though, that 3 pm kickoff for State-A&M is going to be CLUTCH given that it will allow my seats to be in the shade for the whole game.

 

I say that, watch it come a flood now.

[rebmus]

This weekend, weather should be clear. 

Next weekend, we'll see. Way too early to tell, but a lot of tropical storms/disturbances in the Atlantic that could dump a lot of rain the next weekend.