Rebel Bert Posted April 21, 2024 Share Posted April 21, 2024 Hatley. 219 Wilkinson County. 217 Clarkdale. 215 Perry Central. 214 O'Bannon. 213 JZ George. 212 Amite County. 212 Charleston. 209 Union. 209 Belmont. 208 Strayhorn. 208 Northside. 207 *New Site. 206 Enterprise Clarke 201 Water Valley. 201 Bay Springs. 198 East Webster. 197 Eupora. 197 Mize. 192 Newton. 192 Baldwyn. 191 Riverside 190(2022) 121 2023 10th grade suppressed Kemper County. 190 East Marion. 189 Philadelphia. 186 Bruce. 186(2022) 134 2023 9th grade suppressed Pelahatchie. 181 Heidelberg. 180 Puckett. 178 Leland. 177 North Forrest. 177 Loyd Star. 173 MS Palmer. 172 Enterprise Lincoln 170 Lake. 168 Leake County. 168 Bogue Chitto. 165 West Lincoln. 159 3 Way Tie for bottom 2 Smithville. 155 Taylorsville. 155 Velma Jackson. 155 * Non Football Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSSportsGuy Posted April 21, 2024 Share Posted April 21, 2024 (edited) You do a good job with these but have missed what will definitely be a 2A. Walnut is a K-12 school but the area has a K-8 school, Chalybeate, that feeds into Walnut when the kids enter 9th grade.Walnut 8-10 enrollment per the MDE tool is 137. Chalybeate has 36 8th graders so their total would be 173 give or take a handful. As referenced in another thread in 2027 the entire district will shift as Falkner becomes only K-5, Chalybeate will be K-5, and the Walnut campus becomes only 6-12 and takes the name North Tippah High School. I figure they wind up 3A. I grew up in an adjacent county to Tippah so am pretty familliar with the area. Edited April 21, 2024 by MSSportsGuy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pull-A-Roy Posted April 21, 2024 Share Posted April 21, 2024 11 hours ago, Rebel Bert said: Hatley. 219 Wilkinson County. 217 Clarkdale. 215 Perry Central. 214 O'Bannon. 213 JZ George. 212 Amite County. 212 Charleston. 209 Union. 209 Belmont. 208 Strayhorn. 208 Northside. 207 *New Site. 206 Enterprise Clarke 201 Water Valley. 201 Bay Springs. 198 East Webster. 197 Eupora. 197 Mize. 192 Newton. 192 Baldwyn. 191 Riverside 190(2022) 121 2023 10th grade suppressed Kemper County. 190 East Marion. 189 Philadelphia. 186 Bruce. 186(2022) 134 2023 9th grade suppressed Pelahatchie. 181 Heidelberg. 180 Puckett. 178 Leland. 177 North Forrest. 177 Loyd Star. 173 MS Palmer. 172 Enterprise Lincoln 170 Lake. 168 Leake County. 168 Bogue Chitto. 165 West Lincoln. 159 3 Way Tie for bottom 2 Smithville. 155 Taylorsville. 155 Velma Jackson. 155 * Non Football How updated are those numbers ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 21, 2024 Author Share Posted April 21, 2024 41 minutes ago, Pull-A-Roy said: How updated are those numbers ? October 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 21, 2024 Author Share Posted April 21, 2024 42 minutes ago, Pull-A-Roy said: How updated are those numbers ? Ok I noticed the Elementary School but didn't look to see. Most importantly is the October 2024 numbers will determine Reclassification. I thought Walnut was a 2A. Certainly 2 of the 3 bottom schools will drop down. However the current rule is that 2 or more schools are tied at the bottom they all must go up. That will make 42 schools in my 2A list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSSportsGuy Posted April 21, 2024 Share Posted April 21, 2024 I'm confident those three schools won't stay tied with those exact numbers as there will always be a little churn during the summer and fall. Also when getting down to 1A/2A lines a big or small class can shift a school pretty easily. Baldwyn is 1A for this cycle but is safely 2A based on the visible numbers while Ingomar is currently 2A but looks to possibly go back to 1A. ' For the record I still hate 7 classes and think 5 is actually plenty as more schools will wind up consolidating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted April 22, 2024 Share Posted April 22, 2024 (edited) 8 hours ago, MSSportsGuy said: You do a good job with these but have missed what will definitely be a 2A. Walnut is a K-12 school but the area has a K-8 school, Chalybeate, that feeds into Walnut when the kids enter 9th grade.Walnut 8-10 enrollment per the MDE tool is 137. Chalybeate has 36 8th graders so their total would be 173 give or take a handful. As referenced in another thread in 2027 the entire district will shift as Falkner becomes only K-5, Chalybeate will be K-5, and the Walnut campus becomes only 6-12 and takes the name North Tippah High School. I figure they wind up 3A. I grew up in an adjacent county to Tippah so am pretty familliar with the area. He already said the new north tippah will be 2A and provided numbers. 2026 numbers show 191-2A Edited April 22, 2024 by pancho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 22, 2024 Author Share Posted April 22, 2024 15 hours ago, MSSportsGuy said: I'm confident those three schools won't stay tied with those exact numbers as there will always be a little churn during the summer and fall. Also when getting down to 1A/2A lines a big or small class can shift a school pretty easily. Baldwyn is 1A for this cycle but is safely 2A based on the visible numbers while Ingomar is currently 2A but looks to possibly go back to 1A. ' For the record I still hate 7 classes and think 5 is actually plenty as more schools will wind up consolidating. Yes 5 classes with 8 regions of at least 6 or 7 schools per region makes it better for scheduling. 6 classes just adds more playoff teams, more money to the state and 2-8 teams in the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 22, 2024 Author Share Posted April 22, 2024 9 hours ago, pancho said: He already said the new north tippah will be 2A and provided numbers. 2026 numbers show 191-2A It's going to change annually. Especially the bottom 10 top 10 of a class. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MSSportsGuy Posted April 22, 2024 Share Posted April 22, 2024 32 minutes ago, Rebel Bert said: It's going to change annually. Especially the bottom 10 top 10 of a class. It's far too early to predict what things will look like in 2026 when these numbers actually play out but I anticipate NTHS will be 3A if the system we are using today remains in place, maybe on the smaller end of the scale. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 22, 2024 Author Share Posted April 22, 2024 2 hours ago, MSSportsGuy said: It's far too early to predict what things will look like in 2026 when these numbers actually play out but I anticipate NTHS will be 3A if the system we are using today remains in place, maybe on the smaller end of the scale. 272 if you count the 6th-8th grade numbers and middle of the road 3A by that time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted April 22, 2024 Share Posted April 22, 2024 4 hours ago, MSSportsGuy said: It's far too early to predict what things will look like in 2026 when these numbers actually play out but I anticipate NTHS will be 3A if the system we are using today remains in place, maybe on the smaller end of the scale. oh, a prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 26, 2024 Share Posted April 26, 2024 (edited) If these numbers pan out, I’m gonna take a stab at 2A south regions. Velma Jackson Lake Leake County Pelahatchie Puckett Enterprise Clarke Clarkdale Bay Springs Newton Union Heidelberg Mize Perry Central North Forrest East Marion Loyd Star Bogue Chitto West Lincoln Enterprise Lincoln Amite County Wilkinson County Edited April 29, 2024 by Chunky6617 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 26, 2024 Author Share Posted April 26, 2024 27 minutes ago, Chunky6617 said: If these numbers pan out, I’m gonna take a stab at 2A south regions. Velma Jackson Union Leake County Pelahatchie Puckett Enterprise Clarke Clarkdale Bay Springs Newton Lake Heidelberg Mize Perry Central North Forrest East Marion Loyd Star Bogue Chitto West Lincoln Enterprise Lincoln Amite County Wilkinson County I was looking if Velma or Leake County go north then Enterprise Lincoln or Bogue Chitto will have to come east. Then 41 schools if Taylorsville stays 1A works it out pretty close to what you have here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 26, 2024 Author Share Posted April 26, 2024 1 minute ago, Rebel Bert said: I was looking if Velma or Leake County go north then Enterprise Lincoln or Bogue Chitto will have to come east. Then 41 schools if Taylorsville stays 1A works it out pretty close to what you have here. I was also looking at leaving Bay Springs and Heidelberg together. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 28, 2024 Author Share Posted April 28, 2024 On 4/26/2024 at 1:28 PM, Rebel Bert said: I was looking if Velma or Leake County go north then Enterprise Lincoln or Bogue Chitto will have to come east. Then 41 schools if Taylorsville stays 1A works it out pretty close to what you have here. After going back and looking I actually put VJ, Bay Springs, Lake, Pelahatchie, and Puckett together. Which left one of the Lincoln County schools moving to Region 8. Simply because in previous years under previous administration they put Taylorsville and Bay Springs with the Scott County or Rankin County Schools in Region 6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lake 30 Posted April 29, 2024 Share Posted April 29, 2024 On 4/26/2024 at 1:28 PM, Rebel Bert said: I was looking if Velma or Leake County go north then Enterprise Lincoln or Bogue Chitto will have to come east. Then 41 schools if Taylorsville stays 1A works it out pretty close to what you have here. No Union, Lake, Bay Spring, needs to be together. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 29, 2024 Share Posted April 29, 2024 1 hour ago, Lake 30 said: No Union, Lake, Bay Spring, needs to be together. I don’t think union will be with lake and bay springs. I think Bay springs and Lake would be with Newton, Clarkdale, and Enterprise. I think Union would have to pair up with Velma Jackson, Leake, Puckett, and Pelahatchie. I don’t see any other way you could logistically pair it up because of all the southwestern schools being right there together. Those 6 schools in the southwestern part of the state all being right there together kind of force everything else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 29, 2024 Author Share Posted April 29, 2024 4 hours ago, Chunky6617 said: I don’t think union will be with lake and bay springs. I think Bay springs and Lake would be with Newton, Clarkdale, and Enterprise. I think Union would have to pair up with Velma Jackson, Leake, Puckett, and Pelahatchie. I don’t see any other way you could logistically pair it up because of all the southwestern schools being right there together. Those 6 schools in the southwestern part of the state all being right there together kind of force everything else. Lake is sitting west of Union therefore Lake will be with Leake and Velma. Union will be with Bay Springs and Newton maybe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 29, 2024 Share Posted April 29, 2024 51 minutes ago, Rebel Bert said: Lake is sitting west of Union therefore Lake will be with Leake and Velma. Union will be with Bay Springs and Newton maybe You are correct. I see that now. So swap lake and union Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 29, 2024 Share Posted April 29, 2024 (edited) Another possible scenario: Wilkinson Co Amite Co Loyd Star Bogue Chitto West Lincoln Enterprise Lincoln East Marion Mize North Forrest Perry Central Heidelberg Bay Springs Clarkdale Enterprise Clarke Newton Kemper County Puckett Pelahatchie Union Leake County Lake This scenario would have Velma Jackson and Philadelphia both in the north, Union and Kemper County in the south. Edited April 29, 2024 by Chunky6617 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 30, 2024 Share Posted April 30, 2024 (edited) Another scenario: Wilkinson Co Amite Co Loyd Star West Lincoln Enterprise Lincoln Bogue Chitto East Marion Richton North Forrest Perry Central Mize Puckett Pelahatchie Lake Velma Jackson Clarkdale Enterprise Clarke Bay Springs Heidelberg Newton This would have Union, Leake County, Philadelphia, and Kemper in a 4 team region in 2A north. All 4 teams would make the playoffs. The south would also have one 4 team region with Velma, Puckett Pelahatchie, and Lake. I added Richton instead of Taylorsville because I am assuming they would be the next largest 1A. I don’t think Tville will be 2A if they have lost as many students as has been rumored. Edited April 30, 2024 by Chunky6617 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 30, 2024 Author Share Posted April 30, 2024 51 minutes ago, Chunky6617 said: Another possible scenario: Wilkinson Co Amite Co Loyd Star Bogue Chitto West Lincoln Enterprise Lincoln East Marion Mize North Forrest Perry Central Heidelberg Bay Springs Clarkdale Enterprise Clarke Newton Kemper County Puckett Pelahatchie Union Leake County Lake This scenario would have Velma Jackson and Philadelphia both in the north, Union and Kemper County in the south. Walnut should be 2A in the north do Philly and Kemper makes it 21 north, 20 south unless Tville gets in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chunky6617 Posted April 30, 2024 Share Posted April 30, 2024 1 minute ago, Rebel Bert said: Walnut should be 2A in the north do Philly and Kemper makes it 21 north, 20 south unless Tville gets in. Is walnut the next team that would move up if Tville doesn’t? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebel Bert Posted April 30, 2024 Author Share Posted April 30, 2024 Velma stays South unless 6 team Region 3 in the Delta Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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