CalPreps Says...

[s1nglewing]

1A PLAYOFFS
Vardaman (MS) at Biggersville (Corinth, MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Biggersville (Corinth, MS) 31 (74%) Vardaman (MS) 21 (26%)]
Taylorsville (MS) at Jackson (Camden, MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Jackson [Velma] (Camden, MS) 31 (73%) Taylorsville (MS) 22 (27%)]

2A PLAYOFFS
Union (MS) at Charleston (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Charleston (MS) 35 (60%) Union (MS) 31 (40%)]
Heidelberg (MS) at Raleigh (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Raleigh (MS) 21 (53%) Heidelberg (MS) 20 (47%)]

3A PLAYOFFS
Noxubee County (Macon, MS) at Jefferson County (Fayette, MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Noxubee County (Macon, MS) 35 (81%) Jefferson County (Fayette, MS) 21 (19%)]
Elzy (Greenwood, MS) at Winona (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Winona (MS) 42 (90%) Elzy [Amanda] (Greenwood, MS) 21 (10%)]

4A PLAYOFFS
Poplarville (MS) at Columbia (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Columbia (MS) 35 (87%) Poplarville (MS) 17 (13%)]
Houston (MS) at Louisville (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Louisville (MS) 35 (92%) Houston (MS) 13 (8%)]

5A PLAYOFFS
Gautier (MS) at Laurel (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Laurel (MS) 38 (65%) Gautier (MS) 31 (35%)]
Clarksdale (MS) at West Point (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: West Point (MS) 26 (61%) Clarksdale (MS) 21 (39%)]

6A PLAYOFFS
Picayune (MS) at West Jones (Laurel, MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Picayune (MS) 21 (53%) West Jones (Laurel, MS) 20 (47%)]
Grenada (MS) at South Panola (Batesville, MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: South Panola (Batesville, MS) 26 (73%) Grenada (MS) 17 (27%)]

7A PLAYOFFS
Oak Grove (Hattiesburg, MS) at Brandon (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Brandon (MS) 28 (53%) Oak Grove (Hattiesburg, MS) 27 (47%)]
Madison Central (Madison, MS) at Starkville (MS), 7:00pm   [projection and percent chances to win: Madison Central (Madison, MS) 21 (53%) Starkville (MS) 20 (47%)]

[maroontide06]

It's crazy how tight these projections are, especially in 6A & 7A but I think that's probably indicative of the talent level.  I reckon that's the way it's supposed to be.

[Tiburon]

Gonna be some slobber-knockers.

 

[maroontide06]

1 minute ago, Tiburon said:

Gonna be some slobber-knockers.

 

I also think the Poplarville-Columbia game will be much closer.  Columbia may be the better team, but Poplarville isn't going to just give up the ghost and go down without a 4 quarter fight.  That's not how they operate up there.

[CharlestonTiger4Life]

These computer projections are also based on the games being played at neutral fields. When calculating in home field, 7A North & 6A South could easily be reversed with Starkville and West Jones favored to win. 

 

maroontide06 I can see where you are coming from with your analysis. IMO talent level has less to do with the tightness of the projections in 7 & 6A, but more with strength of schedules being similar. The teams involved only play other 7 or 6A teams or the highest ranking 5 or 4A teams.

Edited November 21, 2023 by CharlestonTiger4Life

[tigers79]

Not bad