J-Trill88 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Everyone should be weather aware this weekend as Ida is predicted to strengthen to a Category 3 or possibly higher. To you guys down on the coast or even near, please prepare!! This storm is moving fast and strengthening fast as well. Projected to make land fall on Sunday night. We will get a lot of rain and tornadoes from this thing inland. Hurricane Watches are already posted for LA/MS/AL coastlines. It’s crazy how this thing went from Invest99L to a tropical storm all in one day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Trill88 Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 14 minutes ago, J-Trill88 said: Everyone should be weather aware this weekend as Ida is predicted to strengthen to a Category 3 or possibly higher. To you guys down on the coast or even near, please prepare!! This storm is moving fast and strengthening fast as well. Projected to make land fall on Sunday night. We will get a lot of rain and tornadoes from this thing inland. Hurricane Watches are already posted for LA/MS/AL coastlines. It’s crazy how this thing went from Invest99L to a tropical storm all in one day. (From NHC) ...IDA STRENGTHENS AS THE CENTER PASSES THROUGH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS... ...AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE STORM... A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Sabine Pass to Alabama/Florida state line * Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cameron, Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama state line * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands * Cuban provinces of Matanzas, Mayabeque, Havana, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida state line Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands this morning, and are expected to reach the Isle of Youth and portions of western Cuba in the warning area later today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the northern Gulf coast late Saturday night or Sunday and tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area late Saturday night or Sunday. Interests elsewhere in central and western Cuba, in the northern Yucatan Peninsula, and elsewhere along the northern U.S. Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. Hurricane warnings will likely be required for portions of the northern Gulf coast later today. Interests in the Dry Tortugas should also monitor the progress of Ida. At 5 a.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located over the west-central Caribbean Sea about 50 miles (80 km) north-northwest of Grand Cayman and about 145 miles (230 km) southeast of the Isle of Youth. Ida is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this general motion should continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Ida will move away from the Cayman Islands this morning, pass near or over the Isle of Youth and western Cuba later today, and over the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico tonight and Saturday. The system is forecast to approach the U.S. northern Gulf coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). Grand Cayman Island recently reported a pressure of 1003 mb (29.62 inches). Additional steady to rapid strengthening is expected to occur during the next few days. Ida is forecast to become a hurricane over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in a day or two, and to be at or near major hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf coast. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... - Morgan City, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...7-11 ft - Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Morgan City, LA incl. Vermilion Bay...4-7 ft - Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft - MS/AL border to AL/FL state line including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft - Lake Pontchartrain...3-5 ft - Lake Maurepas...2-4 ft - Sabine Pass to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA...2-4 ft Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across Jamaica. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are expected across the Cayman Islands and western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. As Ida approaches the central Gulf Coast Sunday afternoon, total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 16 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible from southeast Louisiana to coastal Mississippi and Alabama through Monday morning. Ida is forecast to turn northeast as it moves inland later Monday with rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches possible across southern and central Mississippi. This is likely to result in considerable flash, urban, small stream, and riverine flooding. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. EDT with an intermediate advisory at 8 a.m. EDT - www.hurricanes.gov Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Thanks for the info. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Trill88 Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 No problem at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Trill88 Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 As of 12:28 pm…. ...IDA STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE ISLE OF YOUTH... Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Ida has strengthened into a hurricane as it approaches the Isle of Youth, Cuba. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. A sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a gust of 60 mph (96 km/h) were recently reported on Cayo Largo, Cuba. SUMMARY OF 110 PM EDT...1710 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 82.4W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM E OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES www.hurricanes.gov Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebmus Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Predicted Cat 4 when it makes landfall, last I saw. This may end up being another Katrina, I sure hope not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Trill88 Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 I hope it don’t either but the computer models are looking wayyyy too similar from 2005 when it hit open water. It’s been said that it would be Katrina’s rival, but Katrina was a Cat 3. It’s gonna be real interesting in the morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Trill88 Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 04:00 PM TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE: RAPID INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES: Additional rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 12 to 24 hours. As a result, Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when landfall along the Louisiana coast on Sunday. From the NHC: On the forecast track, the center of Ida will move over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight. Ida is then expected to make landfall along the coast of Louisiana within the hurricane warning area on Sunday and then move inland over portions of Louisiana and western Mississippi later on Monday and Monday night. NHC KEYNOTES: Key Messages: 1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation Sunday along the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama within the Storm Surge Warning area. Extremely life-threatening inundation of 9 feet or more significant above ground level is possible within Morgan City, Louisiana, to Mississippi. Overtopping local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation values may be higher. Interests throughout the warning area should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the coast of Louisiana. Hurricane-force winds are expected Sunday in portions of the Hurricane Warning area along the Louisiana coast, including metropolitan New Orleans, with potentially catastrophic wind damage possible where the core of Ida moves onshore. Actions to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the warning area. 3. Damaging winds, especially in gusts, will spread inland near the track of the center of Ida across portions of southeastern Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi Sunday night and early Monday. These winds will likely lead to widespread tree damage and power outages. 4. Ida is likely to produce heavy rainfall Sunday into Monday across the central Gulf Coast from southeast Louisiana, coastal Mississippi, and far southwestern Alabama, resulting in considerable to life-threatening flash and urban flooding and significant river flooding impacts. As Ida moves inland, significant flooding impacts are possible across portions of the Lower Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys through Wednesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pancho Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 cat 5 now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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